CLAIMBOUND / SOURCE-PUBLICATION EVIDENCE
Electric vehicles
Every card identifies what it proves, what it does not prove, its exact quote, locator, source hash, and local rerun command.
1. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 10
Narrow public claim
Chinese automakers supplied 60% of global electric car sales in 2025, while European and North American automakers were each responsible for about 15% of global sales.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 10- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Chinese automakers supplied 60% of global electric car sales in 2025, while European and North American automakers were each responsible for about 15% of global sales.
2. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 10
Narrow public claim
The oil crisis of the 1970s prompted the introduction of fuel efficiency standards, which resulted in close to a doubling of the fuel economy of conventional cars between 1975 and today, while during the Covid-19 pandemic, many countries introduced EV subsidies to boost uptake and support a broader economic recovery.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 10- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The oil crisis of the 1970s prompted the introduction of fuel efficiency standards, which resulted in close to a doubling of the fuel economy of conventional cars between 1975 and today, while during the Covid-19 pandemic, many countries introduced EV subsidies to boost uptake and support a broader economic recovery.
3. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 11
Narrow public claim
For consumers in emerging economies with low rates of motorisation and high sensitivity to fuel prices, electric two- and three-wheelers look to be an attractive option – sales more than doubled year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026 in Southeast Asia, and grew more than 30% in India.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 11- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
For consumers in emerging economies with low rates of motorisation and high sensitivity to fuel prices, electric two- and three-wheelers look to be an attractive option – sales more than doubled year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026 in Southeast Asia, and grew more than 30% in India.
4. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 11
Narrow public claim
However, this overall decline masks strong sales growth in many countries: in Europe, sales were up close to 30% year-on-year; countries in Asia Pacific excluding China saw year-on-year sales growth of 80%, and sales across Latin America were up by 75%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 11- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
However, this overall decline masks strong sales growth in many countries: in Europe, sales were up close to 30% year-on-year; countries in Asia Pacific excluding China saw year-on-year sales growth of 80%, and sales across Latin America were up by 75%.
5. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 12
Narrow public claim
Policies and affordability will continue to shape the EV outlook in key markets Even without any new policy announcements, the global fleet of EVs is projected to grow more than sixfold by 2035 from 2025 levels, to reach as many as 510 million, without counting electric two- or three-wheelers.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 12- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Policies and affordability will continue to shape the EV outlook in key markets Even without any new policy announcements, the global fleet of EVs is projected to grow more than sixfold by 2035 from 2025 levels, to reach as many as 510 million, without counting electric two- or three-wheelers.
6. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 12
Narrow public claim
In China, 70% of battery electric cars sold in 2025 were already cheaper than the average conventional car; in China’s small car segment, electric cars have already largely displaced sales of conventional cars.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 12- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In China, 70% of battery electric cars sold in 2025 were already cheaper than the average conventional car; in China’s small car segment, electric cars have already largely displaced sales of conventional cars.
7. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 13
Narrow public claim
The vast majority of this growth came from China, where sales doubled for the second consecutive year in 2025; one in four trucks sold in China was electric.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 13- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The vast majority of this growth came from China, where sales doubled for the second consecutive year in 2025; one in four trucks sold in China was electric.
8. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 13
Narrow public claim
Based on current policies, electric trucks are set to constitute at least 20% of global truck sales in 2035, led by sales in China, where they reach a 60% sales share.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 13- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Based on current policies, electric trucks are set to constitute at least 20% of global truck sales in 2035, led by sales in China, where they reach a 60% sales share.
9. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 14
Narrow public claim
In 2024, China overtook the European Union to become the largest exporter of cars; in 2025, more than 35% of China’s car exports were EVs, up from 20% in 2024.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 14- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In 2024, China overtook the European Union to become the largest exporter of cars; in 2025, more than 35% of China’s car exports were EVs, up from 20% in 2024.
10. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 14
Narrow public claim
More than half of electric cars sold in Southeast Asia in 2025 were by Chinese brands, while one-third came from a Vietnamese manufacturer.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 14- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
More than half of electric cars sold in Southeast Asia in 2025 were by Chinese brands, while one-third came from a Vietnamese manufacturer.
11. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 15
Narrow public claim
The number of electric cars able to use chargers above 250 kW represents less than 5% of the vehicle stock, but sales are growing alongside the expansion of ultra-fast and megawatt-scale chargers.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 15- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The number of electric cars able to use chargers above 250 kW represents less than 5% of the vehicle stock, but sales are growing alongside the expansion of ultra-fast and megawatt-scale chargers.
12. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 16
Narrow public claim
Trends in electric car markets Electric car sales Electric car sales topped 20 million globally in 2025 One in four new cars sold worldwide was electric in 2025 The electric car market reached new highs in 2025, growing by 20% from 2024 to exceed 20 million sales, in line with expectations in the 2025 edition of the Global EV Outlook.2 The sales share of electric cars in the overall car market increased to 25%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 16- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Trends in electric car markets Electric car sales Electric car sales topped 20 million globally in 2025 One in four new cars sold worldwide was electric in 2025 The electric car market reached new highs in 2025, growing by 20% from 2024 to exceed 20 million sales, in line with expectations in the 2025 edition of the Global EV Outlook.2 The sales share of electric cars in the overall car market increased to 25%.
13. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 17
Narrow public claim
While 2024 saw a strong increase in extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), this did not continue in 2025, dropping to less than 7% of total electric car sales, after rising to 7.5% in 2024.3 Market developments varied across regions.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 17- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
While 2024 saw a strong increase in extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), this did not continue in 2025, dropping to less than 7% of total electric car sales, after rising to 7.5% in 2024.3 Market developments varied across regions.
14. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 17
Narrow public claim
In the People’s Republic of China (hereafter, “China”), growth slowed slightly partly as a result of its trade-in scheme being temporary halted, but the country still accounted for more than half of the global increase in electric car sales in 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 17- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In the People’s Republic of China (hereafter, “China”), growth slowed slightly partly as a result of its trade-in scheme being temporary halted, but the country still accounted for more than half of the global increase in electric car sales in 2025.
15. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 18
Narrow public claim
Across the three major electric car markets, sales growth was strongest in Europe Close to 55% of new cars sold in China were electric in 2025 More than 13 million electric cars were sold in China in 2025, maintaining its position as the world’s largest electric car market, accounting for six out of ten electric cars sold globally.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 18- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Across the three major electric car markets, sales growth was strongest in Europe Close to 55% of new cars sold in China were electric in 2025 More than 13 million electric cars were sold in China in 2025, maintaining its position as the world’s largest electric car market, accounting for six out of ten electric cars sold globally.
16. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 18
Narrow public claim
As a result, an estimated 44 million electric cars were on Chinese roads at the end of 2025, representing around 13% of the total car stock, up from 1 in 10 in 2024.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 18- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
As a result, an estimated 44 million electric cars were on Chinese roads at the end of 2025, representing around 13% of the total car stock, up from 1 in 10 in 2024.
17. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 19
Narrow public claim
In July 2025, the trade-in scheme was temporarily halted in several cities, causing electric car sales to dip by 10% compared to June.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 19- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In July 2025, the trade-in scheme was temporarily halted in several cities, causing electric car sales to dip by 10% compared to June.
18. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 19
Narrow public claim
This allows buyers to take advantage of subsidies and helps manufacturers meet production targets, but they also disrupt pricing for local dealerships.5 There are no official statistics on the number of zero-mileage cars, but estimates suggest that roughly 2% of new conventional car sales in 2025 were for zero-mileage used cars, while for electric car sales this percentage may be slightly higher, at roughly 4%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 19- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
This allows buyers to take advantage of subsidies and helps manufacturers meet production targets, but they also disrupt pricing for local dealerships.5 There are no official statistics on the number of zero-mileage cars, but estimates suggest that roughly 2% of new conventional car sales in 2025 were for zero-mileage used cars, while for electric car sales this percentage may be slightly higher, at roughly 4%.
19. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 21
Narrow public claim
Electric car sales saw strong growth in Europe in 2025, thanks to policy support Electric car sales increased by more than 30% in Europe in 2025, reversing the relative stagnation seen since 2022.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 21- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Electric car sales saw strong growth in Europe in 2025, thanks to policy support Electric car sales increased by more than 30% in Europe in 2025, reversing the relative stagnation seen since 2022.
20. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 21
Narrow public claim
This rebound was supported not only by preferential tax treatment for electric company cars, but also by the wider availability of more affordable models, which contributed to a fall in the average battery electric vehicle (BEV) price of around 6% in 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 21- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
This rebound was supported not only by preferential tax treatment for electric company cars, but also by the wider availability of more affordable models, which contributed to a fall in the average battery electric vehicle (BEV) price of around 6% in 2025.
21. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 22
Narrow public claim
Norway remains the world’s leading electric car market in terms of sales shares, with about 97% of new car sales being electric in 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 22- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Norway remains the world’s leading electric car market in terms of sales shares, with about 97% of new car sales being electric in 2025.
22. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 22
Narrow public claim
One of the fastest-growing electric car markets in Europe in 2025 was Türkiye, where sales more than doubled compared to 2024 to reach nearly 240 000.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 22- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
One of the fastest-growing electric car markets in Europe in 2025 was Türkiye, where sales more than doubled compared to 2024 to reach nearly 240 000.
23. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 23
Narrow public claim
In the United States, electric car sales fell sharply in the last quarter of 2025 Electric car sales in the United States in 2025 were slightly lower than in 2024, at around 1.5 million.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 23- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In the United States, electric car sales fell sharply in the last quarter of 2025 Electric car sales in the United States in 2025 were slightly lower than in 2024, at around 1.5 million.
24. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 23
Narrow public claim
At the beginning of 2025, Executive Order 14154 directed the government to end support for EVs, including measures related to financial incentives and fuel economy standards.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 23- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
At the beginning of 2025, Executive Order 14154 directed the government to end support for EVs, including measures related to financial incentives and fuel economy standards.
25. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 24
Narrow public claim
The government helped support sales earlier in 2025 by bringing forward the release of purchase guidelines compared with previous years.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 24- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The government helped support sales earlier in 2025 by bringing forward the release of purchase guidelines compared with previous years.
26. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 24
Narrow public claim
In Japan, despite subsidy support, electric car sales momentum remained weak for the second year in a row in 2025, with volumes similar to 2024 levels (just above 100 000).
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 24- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In Japan, despite subsidy support, electric car sales momentum remained weak for the second year in a row in 2025, with volumes similar to 2024 levels (just above 100 000).
27. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 26
Narrow public claim
Sales in Viet Nam more than doubled in 2025, promoting the country to Southeast Asia’s largest electric car market, with nearly 40% of new car sales being electric, above levels seen in most European countries.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 26- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Sales in Viet Nam more than doubled in 2025, promoting the country to Southeast Asia’s largest electric car market, with nearly 40% of new car sales being electric, above levels seen in most European countries.
28. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 26
Narrow public claim
Policy support for electric car purchases has primarily been provided through registration fee exemptions for BEVs since 2022.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 26- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Policy support for electric car purchases has primarily been provided through registration fee exemptions for BEVs since 2022.
29. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 27
Narrow public claim
About 75% of 2025 sales were imports from China, while the rest were cars produced domestically by Chinese carmakers (mostly by Wuling) – supported by a wide range of manufacturing incentives – and imports from neighbouring countries such as Viet Nam and Thailand.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 27- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
About 75% of 2025 sales were imports from China, while the rest were cars produced domestically by Chinese carmakers (mostly by Wuling) – supported by a wide range of manufacturing incentives – and imports from neighbouring countries such as Viet Nam and Thailand.
30. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 27
Narrow public claim
As industrial and trade policies shift the focus towards local production, the importance of imports in Indonesia’s electric car market is set to wane in 2026.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 27- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
As industrial and trade policies shift the focus towards local production, the importance of imports in Indonesia’s electric car market is set to wane in 2026.
31. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 28
Narrow public claim
Following the announcement by the Indian government in 2024 of the Scheme to Promote Manufacturing of Electric Passenger Cars in India (SPMEPCI), the final requirements were announced in June 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 28- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Following the announcement by the Indian government in 2024 of the Scheme to Promote Manufacturing of Electric Passenger Cars in India (SPMEPCI), the final requirements were announced in June 2025.
32. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 29
Narrow public claim
Imports from China increased significantly, with 85% of electric car sales in 2025 being imports from China, up from just over 60% in 2024 (see Chapter 7), despite the reinstatement of import tariffs for electric cars in October 2024.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 29- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Imports from China increased significantly, with 85% of electric car sales in 2025 being imports from China, up from just over 60% in 2024 (see Chapter 7), despite the reinstatement of import tariffs for electric cars in October 2024.
33. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 29
Narrow public claim
Furthermore, gasoline prices are much higher compared to other Latin American countries, further supporting the adoption of BEVs: in 2025 the average gasoline price was USD 2 per litre, 75% higher than in Brazil or Argentina.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 29- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Furthermore, gasoline prices are much higher compared to other Latin American countries, further supporting the adoption of BEVs: in 2025 the average gasoline price was USD 2 per litre, 75% higher than in Brazil or Argentina.
34. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 31
Narrow public claim
Sales have grown particularly quickly in Qatar and Saudi Arabia, which together now represent nearly 45% of regional demand.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 31- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Sales have grown particularly quickly in Qatar and Saudi Arabia, which together now represent nearly 45% of regional demand.
35. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 31
Narrow public claim
Data on the electrification of used exported cars is limited and further complicated by exports of zero-mileage vehicles (see box 7.1).
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 31- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Data on the electrification of used exported cars is limited and further complicated by exports of zero-mileage vehicles (see box 7.1).
36. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 33
Narrow public claim
Around 150 new electric models have been announced for release in 2026, followed by approximately 70 in 2027 and 40 in 2028.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 33- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Around 150 new electric models have been announced for release in 2026, followed by approximately 70 in 2027 and 40 in 2028.
37. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 33
Narrow public claim
Extrapolating historic trends, hybrid model availability could increase by around 30% to 2029, while ICEV model availability plateaus.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 33- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Extrapolating historic trends, hybrid model availability could increase by around 30% to 2029, while ICEV model availability plateaus.
38. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 34
Narrow public claim
As of the end of 2025, there were nearly 700 electric car models available, 60% more than the number of conventional car models.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 34- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
As of the end of 2025, there were nearly 700 electric car models available, 60% more than the number of conventional car models.
39. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 34
Narrow public claim
Despite the number of large and SUV EV models growing over 25% in 2025 in China, their share of total electric car sales only increased by one percentage point, to reach more than 60%, although 2025 sales were 25 percentage points higher than 2020 levels.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 34- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Despite the number of large and SUV EV models growing over 25% in 2025 in China, their share of total electric car sales only increased by one percentage point, to reach more than 60%, although 2025 sales were 25 percentage points higher than 2020 levels.
40. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 35
Narrow public claim
The United States has the highest share of large models within its EV line-up: over 85% of electric models are large cars or SUVs, compared with roughly three quarters in Europe and China.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 35- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The United States has the highest share of large models within its EV line-up: over 85% of electric models are large cars or SUVs, compared with roughly three quarters in Europe and China.
41. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 35
Narrow public claim
This is also reflected in sales, with large cars and SUVs accounting for over 80% of all car sales in the United States.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 35- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
This is also reflected in sales, with large cars and SUVs accounting for over 80% of all car sales in the United States.
42. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 36
Narrow public claim
These vehicles, known as “M1E”, are defined as battery electric passenger cars (M1) with an overall length of less than 4.2 metres.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 36- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
These vehicles, known as “M1E”, are defined as battery electric passenger cars (M1) with an overall length of less than 4.2 metres.
43. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 36
Narrow public claim
M1E cars generate 1.3 credits that can be used towards meeting emissions targets, thereby creating a new compliance lever for carmakers, although use of M1E credits prohibits carmakers from pooling credits with pure-play EV makers.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 36- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
M1E cars generate 1.3 credits that can be used towards meeting emissions targets, thereby creating a new compliance lever for carmakers, although use of M1E credits prohibits carmakers from pooling credits with pure-play EV makers.
44. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 37
Narrow public claim
Just five models represent around 20% of global battery electric car sales While model availability shapes consumer choice, greater availability is not necessary reflected in EV purchase decisions; instead, buyers often tend to pick one of a relatively small number of very popular models.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 37- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Just five models represent around 20% of global battery electric car sales While model availability shapes consumer choice, greater availability is not necessary reflected in EV purchase decisions; instead, buyers often tend to pick one of a relatively small number of very popular models.
45. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 37
Narrow public claim
In 2025, 630 battery electric car models were available globally, yet sales remained highly concentrated across a small group of best-selling models.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 37- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In 2025, 630 battery electric car models were available globally, yet sales remained highly concentrated across a small group of best-selling models.
46. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 38
Narrow public claim
The average range of small and medium-sized cars increased by about 7% and 5% in 2025, but global electric car sales have become increasingly concentrated in larger segments, with large cars and SUVs accounting for almost 70% of the global EV market in 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 38- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The average range of small and medium-sized cars increased by about 7% and 5% in 2025, but global electric car sales have become increasingly concentrated in larger segments, with large cars and SUVs accounting for almost 70% of the global EV market in 2025.
47. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 39
Narrow public claim
Today’s average range can accommodate the vast majority of daily driving needs In many markets, average daily driving distances are around 40 km,9 equivalent to roughly one-tenth of the average battery electric car range.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 39- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Today’s average range can accommodate the vast majority of daily driving needs In many markets, average daily driving distances are around 40 km,9 equivalent to roughly one-tenth of the average battery electric car range.
48. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 39
Narrow public claim
Daily driving needs are higher in some markets – for example, the average daily driving distance in the United States is around 65 km.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 39- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Daily driving needs are higher in some markets – for example, the average daily driving distance in the United States is around 65 km.
49. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 41
Narrow public claim
Firstly, the government trade-in scheme has been revised so that the subsidy amount is now set as a share of the vehicle purchase price, effectively reducing the amount of purchase subsidy that most electric cars are eligible for, and secondly, purchase tax has been reintroduced (5% in 2026) for electric cars.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 41- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Firstly, the government trade-in scheme has been revised so that the subsidy amount is now set as a share of the vehicle purchase price, effectively reducing the amount of purchase subsidy that most electric cars are eligible for, and secondly, purchase tax has been reintroduced (5% in 2026) for electric cars.
50. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 42
Narrow public claim
Q1 car sales in China were down around 20% year-on-year, which meant that the sales share of electric cars was somewhat protected despite the decline in sales volumes.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 42- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Q1 car sales in China were down around 20% year-on-year, which meant that the sales share of electric cars was somewhat protected despite the decline in sales volumes.
51. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 42
Narrow public claim
Although domestic electric car sales are down in China, exports more than doubled year-on-year during the first quarter of 2026.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 42- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Although domestic electric car sales are down in China, exports more than doubled year-on-year during the first quarter of 2026.
52. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 43
Narrow public claim
Although March 2026 sales did not break records in France, the country saw sales grow 40% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, and the share of Chinese imports in electric car sales fell to around 10%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 43- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Although March 2026 sales did not break records in France, the country saw sales grow 40% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026, and the share of Chinese imports in electric car sales fell to around 10%.
53. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 43
Narrow public claim
In the United States, Q1 2026 electric car sales were a third lower than sales in Q1 2025, reflecting the ending of federal tax credits after Q3 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 43- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In the United States, Q1 2026 electric car sales were a third lower than sales in Q1 2025, reflecting the ending of federal tax credits after Q3 2025.
54. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 45
Narrow public claim
Despite the phase-out of import tariff exemptions at the end of 2025, Chinese-made electric cars continued to make up roughly 85% of sales in Brazil during Q1 2026, though it is likely that a share of these cars arrived in the country before the end of 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 45- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Despite the phase-out of import tariff exemptions at the end of 2025, Chinese-made electric cars continued to make up roughly 85% of sales in Brazil during Q1 2026, though it is likely that a share of these cars arrived in the country before the end of 2025.
55. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 45
Narrow public claim
Electric car sales are expected to grow 10% in 2026, but uncertainties are high Market and policy fundamentals for 2026 point towards growth in electric car sales, but data on low sales figures in the first quarter of 2026 suggest that the rate of growth is likely to be more moderate than previously expected.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 45- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Electric car sales are expected to grow 10% in 2026, but uncertainties are high Market and policy fundamentals for 2026 point towards growth in electric car sales, but data on low sales figures in the first quarter of 2026 suggest that the rate of growth is likely to be more moderate than previously expected.
56. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 46
Narrow public claim
The conflict in the Middle East is also set to have consequences on economic activity in 2026, although the extent of these is still unclear.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 46- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The conflict in the Middle East is also set to have consequences on economic activity in 2026, although the extent of these is still unclear.
57. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 46
Narrow public claim
The International Monetary Fund’s April World Economic Outlook reference forecast has already incorporated a 0.3 percentage point reduction in 2026 global growth relative to its pre-conflict forecast, from 3.4% to 3.1%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 46- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
The International Monetary Fund’s April World Economic Outlook reference forecast has already incorporated a 0.3 percentage point reduction in 2026 global growth relative to its pre-conflict forecast, from 3.4% to 3.1%.
58. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 47
Narrow public claim
Sales in 2025 were already impacted by the end of federal tax credits and a strategic pullback by automakers from electrification timelines.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 47- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Sales in 2025 were already impacted by the end of federal tax credits and a strategic pullback by automakers from electrification timelines.
59. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 51
Narrow public claim
In 2026, tighter policy support – including reduced purchase tax exemptions and stricter trade-in incentives – is expected to increase price pressure on carmakers.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 51- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In 2026, tighter policy support – including reduced purchase tax exemptions and stricter trade-in incentives – is expected to increase price pressure on carmakers.
60. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 51
Narrow public claim
However, in most cases, affordability is no longer dependent on policy support: in 2025, even before government incentives, nearly 70% of BEVs sold in China were already cheaper than their ICE equivalents, up from around 50% in 2021.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 51- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
However, in most cases, affordability is no longer dependent on policy support: in 2025, even before government incentives, nearly 70% of BEVs sold in China were already cheaper than their ICE equivalents, up from around 50% in 2021.
61. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 53
Narrow public claim
In 2025, the average retail price of battery electric cars would have been roughly 20% lower in Germany and more than 5% lower in the United Kingdom without the increasing transition to SUVs and larger models that has taken place since 2021.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 53- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In 2025, the average retail price of battery electric cars would have been roughly 20% lower in Germany and more than 5% lower in the United Kingdom without the increasing transition to SUVs and larger models that has taken place since 2021.
62. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 55
Narrow public claim
Strong sales of existing models such as the Fiat 500, alongside new, more affordable entries like the Renault 5 E-Tech, Leapmotor T03 and the BYD Dolphin, supported the first increase in electric car sales shares within the small segment since 2021, although the 2025 share was still lower than levels seen 3 years earlier, at less than 15%.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 55- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Strong sales of existing models such as the Fiat 500, alongside new, more affordable entries like the Renault 5 E-Tech, Leapmotor T03 and the BYD Dolphin, supported the first increase in electric car sales shares within the small segment since 2021, although the 2025 share was still lower than levels seen 3 years earlier, at less than 15%.
63. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 55
Narrow public claim
In contrast, medium-sized BEVs were sold at an average premium of around 15% relative to medium-sized ICE models, more than 5 percentage points higher than in 2024, making this segment comparatively less competitive.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 55- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In contrast, medium-sized BEVs were sold at an average premium of around 15% relative to medium-sized ICE models, more than 5 percentage points higher than in 2024, making this segment comparatively less competitive.
64. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 56
Narrow public claim
In emerging markets, affordable Chinese models helped drive EV adoption In Southeast Asia, affordability improved with Chinese imports, but localisation will test cost-competitiveness The affordability of electric cars in Southeast Asia continued to improve in 2025.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 56- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In emerging markets, affordable Chinese models helped drive EV adoption In Southeast Asia, affordability improved with Chinese imports, but localisation will test cost-competitiveness The affordability of electric cars in Southeast Asia continued to improve in 2025.
65. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 57
Narrow public claim
Imports of VinFast electric cars from Viet Nam represented over 10% of sales and were priced, on average, about 15% lower than ICE cars in Indonesia.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 57- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Imports of VinFast electric cars from Viet Nam represented over 10% of sales and were priced, on average, about 15% lower than ICE cars in Indonesia.
66. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 58
Narrow public claim
Chinese models, which accounted for nearly 80% of EV sales, were priced at an average premium of around 65% relative to conventional cars, higher than the average price premium seen in Indonesia.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 58- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Chinese models, which accounted for nearly 80% of EV sales, were priced at an average premium of around 65% relative to conventional cars, higher than the average price premium seen in Indonesia.
67. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 58
Narrow public claim
In 2025, mass-market models from Malaysia’s Proton, the e.MAS5 and e.MAS7, sold at a premium of only around 10%, making them some of the most price-competitive EVs in the market, although they are essentially rebadged models from Geely assembled in China.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 58- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
In 2025, mass-market models from Malaysia’s Proton, the e.MAS5 and e.MAS7, sold at a premium of only around 10%, making them some of the most price-competitive EVs in the market, although they are essentially rebadged models from Geely assembled in China.
68. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 59
Narrow public claim
Models from domestic EV maker Togg were even more price competitive, at an average of 20% cheaper than conventional cars, helping Togg to capture more than one-fifth of the BEV market.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 59- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
Models from domestic EV maker Togg were even more price competitive, at an average of 20% cheaper than conventional cars, helping Togg to capture more than one-fifth of the BEV market.
69. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 59
Narrow public claim
For this powertrain technology, affordable imports from China were the main driver of price reductions, accounting for nearly three-quarters of sales and priced, on average, about 10% below conventional cars.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 59- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
For this powertrain technology, affordable imports from China were the main driver of price reductions, accounting for nearly three-quarters of sales and priced, on average, about 10% below conventional cars.
70. IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis · PDF page 61
Narrow public claim
So much so that it is estimated that around 80% of usedcar dealers in China now refuse to accept BEVs that are more than 5 years old.
What this card proves
The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-09-07, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.
What this card does not prove
It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.
- Primary source
- IEA Global EV Outlook 2026: Growing sales amid an energy crisis
- Section locator
PDF page 61- Captured
- 2026-09-07
- Source SHA-256
7f0e1575fa3679fe195c24b6adfd036c28ac90f7d0680ef127d62b4f481e8300- Reproduction
- Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally
Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.
python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom077_t07_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>Exact source quote
So much so that it is estimated that around 80% of usedcar dealers in China now refuse to accept BEVs that are more than 5 years old.