CLAIMBOUND / SOURCE-PUBLICATION EVIDENCE

Public budgets

70 distinct source statements, not 70 independently proven facts. 70 results use an official primary source; 0 retain their explicitly limited Wikidata publication boundary.

Every card identifies what it proves, what it does not prove, its exact quote, locator, source hash, and local rerun command.

70 / 70primary-source statements
0 / 70independent ClaimBound reruns
CB7K-DOM040-C01registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

1. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 8

Narrow public claim

“Basis points” refers to hundredths of 1 percentage point (for example, 25 basis points are equivalent to ¼ of percentage point).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 8
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
“Basis points” refers to hundredths of 1 percentage point (for example, 25 basis points are equivalent to ¼ of percentage point).
CB7K-DOM040-C02registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

2. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 8

Narrow public claim

As used in this publication, the term “country” does not in all cases refer to a territorial entity that is a state as understood by international law and practice.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 8
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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Exact source quote
As used in this publication, the term “country” does not in all cases refer to a territorial entity that is a state as understood by international law and practice.
CB7K-DOM040-C03registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

3. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 9

Narrow public claim

Corrections and Revisions The data and analysis appearing in the Fiscal Monitor are compiled by IMF staff at the time of publication.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 9
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

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Exact source quote
Corrections and Revisions The data and analysis appearing in the Fiscal Monitor are compiled by IMF staff at the time of publication.
CB7K-DOM040-C04registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

4. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 9

Narrow public claim

Digital Multiple digital editions of the Fiscal Monitor, including ePub, enhanced PDF, and HTML, are available on the IMF eLibrary at www.elibrary.imf.org/APR24FM.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 9
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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Exact source quote
Digital Multiple digital editions of the Fiscal Monitor, including ePub, enhanced PDF, and HTML, are available on the IMF eLibrary at www.elibrary.imf.org/APR24FM.
CB7K-DOM040-C05registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

5. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 10

Narrow public claim

The fiscal projections incorporate policy measures that are judged by the IMF staff as likely to be implemented.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 10
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

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Exact source quote
The fiscal projections incorporate policy measures that are judged by the IMF staff as likely to be implemented.
CB7K-DOM040-C06registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

6. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 10

Narrow public claim

Details on the composition of the groups, as well as country-specific assumptions, can be found in the Methodological and Statistical Appendix of the April 2024 Fiscal Monitor.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 10
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Details on the composition of the groups, as well as country-specific assumptions, can be found in the Methodological and Statistical Appendix of the April 2024 Fiscal Monitor.
CB7K-DOM040-C07registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

7. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 10

Narrow public claim

The main authors of Chapter 1 in this issue are Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro (team lead) and Jiae Yoo (team co-lead), Hamid Davoodi, Enrico Di Gregorio, Carlos Eduardo Gonçalves, Gabriel Hegab, Youssouf Kiendrebeogo, and Nicola Pierri, with contributions from Fritz Florian Bachmair, Nick Carroll, Shafik Hebous, Gee Hee Hong, Raphael Lam, Goesta Ljungman, Mario Mansour, Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, Alessandro Scipioni, Mauricio Soto, and Charles Vellutini, with research support from Victoria Haver and Chenlu Zhang.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 10
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The main authors of Chapter 1 in this issue are Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro (team lead) and Jiae Yoo (team co-lead), Hamid Davoodi, Enrico Di Gregorio, Carlos Eduardo Gonçalves, Gabriel Hegab, Youssouf Kiendrebeogo, and Nicola Pierri, with contributions from Fritz Florian Bachmair, Nick Carroll, Shafik Hebous, Gee Hee Hong, Raphael Lam, Goesta Ljungman, Mario Mansour, Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, Alessandro Scipioni, Mauricio Soto, and Charles Vellutini, with research support from Victoria Haver and Chenlu Zhang.
CB7K-DOM040-C08registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

8. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 10

Narrow public claim

The main authors of Chapter are Daniel Garcia-Macia (team lead) and Li Liu (team co-lead), Alexandre Balduino Sollaci, Simon Black, Fernanda Brollo, Paolo Dudine, Tibor Hanappi, Salma Khalid, Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, Roberto Piazza, Nicola Pierri, Alexandra Solovyeva, and Nate Vernon, with research support from Victoria Haver and Zhonghao Wei.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 10
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The main authors of Chapter are Daniel Garcia-Macia (team lead) and Li Liu (team co-lead), Alexandre Balduino Sollaci, Simon Black, Fernanda Brollo, Paolo Dudine, Tibor Hanappi, Salma Khalid, Anh Dinh Minh Nguyen, Roberto Piazza, Nicola Pierri, Alexandra Solovyeva, and Nate Vernon, with research support from Victoria Haver and Zhonghao Wei.
CB7K-DOM040-C09registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

9. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 18

Narrow public claim

Monetary policy is tightening (loosening) if the annual change in the central bank policy rate is positive (negative or zero).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 18
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Monetary policy is tightening (loosening) if the annual change in the central bank policy rate is positive (negative or zero).
CB7K-DOM040-C10registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T01-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

10. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 20

Narrow public claim

Data for the United States in this table may thus differ from data published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 20
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t01_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Data for the United States in this table may thus differ from data published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
CB7K-DOM040-C11registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

11. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 20

Narrow public claim

China’s deficit and public debt numbers presented in this table cover a narrower perimeter of the general government than the IMF staff estimates in China Article IV reports (see IMF 2024 for a reconciliation of the two estimates).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 20
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
China’s deficit and public debt numbers presented in this table cover a narrower perimeter of the general government than the IMF staff estimates in China Article IV reports (see IMF 2024 for a reconciliation of the two estimates).
CB7K-DOM040-C12registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

12. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 21

Narrow public claim

Gross and net debt averages do not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the NextGenerationEU package.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 21
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Gross and net debt averages do not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the NextGenerationEU package.
CB7K-DOM040-C13registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

13. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 21

Narrow public claim

Debt incurred by the European Union and used to onlend to member states is included within member state debt data and regional aggregates.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 21
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Debt incurred by the European Union and used to onlend to member states is included within member state debt data and regional aggregates.
CB7K-DOM040-C14registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

14. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 21

Narrow public claim

For cross-economy comparability, gross and net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 21
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
For cross-economy comparability, gross and net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.
CB7K-DOM040-C15registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

15. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 22

Narrow public claim

Further, the Treasury’s plans to issue more debt, coinciding with quantitative tightening, likely contributed to heightened volatility in bond markets and a rise in term premiums (see Chapter 1 of the October 2023 and April 2024 Global Financial Stability Reports).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 22
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Further, the Treasury’s plans to issue more debt, coinciding with quantitative tightening, likely contributed to heightened volatility in bond markets and a rise in term premiums (see Chapter 1 of the October 2023 and April 2024 Global Financial Stability Reports).
CB7K-DOM040-C16registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

16. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 22

Narrow public claim

The estimation of nominal term premiums uses the methodology based on Adrian, Crump, and Moench (2013).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 22
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The estimation of nominal term premiums uses the methodology based on Adrian, Crump, and Moench (2013).
CB7K-DOM040-C17registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

17. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 24

Narrow public claim

The dotted line reports a linear regression of the chart data points.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 24
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The dotted line reports a linear regression of the chart data points.
CB7K-DOM040-C18registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

18. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 25

Narrow public claim

The narrower perimeter excludes the remaining third of LGFV debt, which is categorized as government guaranteed debt or “possible to be recognized debt,” as well as debt tied to special construction and government-guided funds.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 25
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t02_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The narrower perimeter excludes the remaining third of LGFV debt, which is categorized as government guaranteed debt or “possible to be recognized debt,” as well as debt tied to special construction and government-guided funds.
CB7K-DOM040-C19registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

19. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 27

Narrow public claim

In those panels, beyond the income group averages, data for select economies or regional averages are further displayed.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 27
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
In those panels, beyond the income group averages, data for select economies or regional averages are further displayed.
CB7K-DOM040-C20registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T02-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

20. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 29

Narrow public claim

The panel estimates use the generalized method of moments estimator.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 29
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
The panel estimates use the generalized method of moments estimator.
CB7K-DOM040-C21registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

21. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 30

Narrow public claim

The vertical axis reports the mean share of platform statements by policy realm in which a party potentially advocates for more government spending or support.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 30
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
The vertical axis reports the mean share of platform statements by policy realm in which a party potentially advocates for more government spending or support.
CB7K-DOM040-C22registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

22. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 30

Narrow public claim

“Social” includes support for the welfare state (for example, health, child, and elder care; pensions; and social housing) and education.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 30
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
“Social” includes support for the welfare state (for example, health, child, and elder care; pensions; and social housing) and education.
CB7K-DOM040-C23registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

23. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 31

Narrow public claim

For low-income and developing countries, climate policies include spending only on adaptation.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 31
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
For low-income and developing countries, climate policies include spending only on adaptation.
CB7K-DOM040-C24registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

24. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 32

Narrow public claim

Debt risks have already materialized in many emerging market and developing economies as the number of countries in debt distress in that group almost quadrupled in seven years: from 5 in 2016 to in 2023.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 32
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
Debt risks have already materialized in many emerging market and developing economies as the number of countries in debt distress in that group almost quadrupled in seven years: from 5 in 2016 to in 2023.
CB7K-DOM040-C25registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

25. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 32

Narrow public claim

Furthermore, at least 11 countries in that group have defaulted on at least a part of their external debt service since 2020.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 32
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
Furthermore, at least 11 countries in that group have defaulted on at least a part of their external debt service since 2020.
CB7K-DOM040-C26registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

26. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 32

Narrow public claim

Concurrently, spending remained high as a result of legacies of crisis-era fiscal measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic and the introduction of new fiscal support measures in many countries.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 32
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
Concurrently, spending remained high as a result of legacies of crisis-era fiscal measures to address the COVID-19 pandemic and the introduction of new fiscal support measures in many countries.
CB7K-DOM040-C27registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

27. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 32

Narrow public claim

Although gradual fiscal tightening is projected to resume in 2024, the risks of fiscal slippages are particularly acute during this “Great Election Year” when numerous elections will be held in countries across the world.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 32
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
Although gradual fiscal tightening is projected to resume in 2024, the risks of fiscal slippages are particularly acute during this “Great Election Year” when numerous elections will be held in countries across the world.
CB7K-DOM040-C28registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

28. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 33

Narrow public claim

The weighted average uses as weights the size of each economy in current dollar values in 2023.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 33
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
The weighted average uses as weights the size of each economy in current dollar values in 2023.
CB7K-DOM040-C29registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

29. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 36

Narrow public claim

However, nearly all this progress occurred before 2008, suggesting that recent shocks have posed significant challenges to mobilizing tax revenue and made sustained progress elusive.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 36
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t03_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
However, nearly all this progress occurred before 2008, suggesting that recent shocks have posed significant challenges to mobilizing tax revenue and made sustained progress elusive.
CB7K-DOM040-C30registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T03-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

30. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 37

Narrow public claim

While the baseline adjustment period is four years, countries committing to reforms that enhance economic resilience and growth, or strengthen fiscal sustainability, can extend it to seven years, thereby avoiding sharp annual fiscal adjustment.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 37
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
While the baseline adjustment period is four years, countries committing to reforms that enhance economic resilience and growth, or strengthen fiscal sustainability, can extend it to seven years, thereby avoiding sharp annual fiscal adjustment.
CB7K-DOM040-C31registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

31. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 43

Narrow public claim

Potential Rationales for Directing Innovation Target Rationale Green innovation Accelerate the development of green technologies, as current innovation can persistently determine the path of future technology.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 43
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Potential Rationales for Directing Innovation Target Rationale Green innovation Accelerate the development of green technologies, as current innovation can persistently determine the path of future technology.
CB7K-DOM040-C32registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

32. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 43

Narrow public claim

Spillovers to other sectors Support sectors that generate more innovation spillovers to other sectors in order to lift productivity growth; laggard sectors can act as bottlenecks to aggregate growth.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 43
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Spillovers to other sectors Support sectors that generate more innovation spillovers to other sectors in order to lift productivity growth; laggard sectors can act as bottlenecks to aggregate growth.
CB7K-DOM040-C33registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

33. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 44

Narrow public claim

This estimate assumes there is no misallocation of fiscal support.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 44
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
This estimate assumes there is no misallocation of fiscal support.
CB7K-DOM040-C34registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

34. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 45

Narrow public claim

Patents are attributed to countries based on the location of their inventors.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 45
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Patents are attributed to countries based on the location of their inventors.
CB7K-DOM040-C35registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

35. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 47

Narrow public claim

The R&D tax incentive rate is based on implicit effective subsidies.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 47
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The R&D tax incentive rate is based on implicit effective subsidies.
CB7K-DOM040-C36registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

36. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 48

Narrow public claim

Inconclusive Can have strong relocation effects Sources: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); and IMF staff estimates.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 48
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Inconclusive Can have strong relocation effects Sources: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); and IMF staff estimates.
CB7K-DOM040-C37registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

37. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 48

Narrow public claim

All coefficients in the table are statistically significant at the 95 percent confidence level.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 48
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
All coefficients in the table are statistically significant at the 95 percent confidence level.
CB7K-DOM040-C38registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

38. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 50

Narrow public claim

Panel 2 shows average shares of real inward FDI in total inward FDI positions across country groups.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 50
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Panel 2 shows average shares of real inward FDI in total inward FDI positions across country groups.
CB7K-DOM040-C39registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

39. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 51

Narrow public claim

Estimates for services imports are obtained from a Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood panel regression for 70 emerging market and developing economies during 2009–21.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 51
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Estimates for services imports are obtained from a Poisson pseudo maximum likelihood panel regression for 70 emerging market and developing economies during 2009–21.
CB7K-DOM040-C40registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T04-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

40. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 51

Narrow public claim

Estimates for real FDI are from a panel regression for 21 emerging market and developing economies during 2009–17.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 51
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t04_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Estimates for real FDI are from a panel regression for 21 emerging market and developing economies during 2009–17.
CB7K-DOM040-C41registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

41. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 51

Narrow public claim

Each estimate can be interpreted as an “estimate times 100 percent” increase in services imports or real FDI position after a unit increase in the corresponding explanatory variable.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 51
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Each estimate can be interpreted as an “estimate times 100 percent” increase in services imports or real FDI position after a unit increase in the corresponding explanatory variable.
CB7K-DOM040-C42registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

42. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 55

Narrow public claim

Incentives to stimulate diffusion of green technologies should be embedded in a broader mix of fiscal climate-mitigation policies— combining carbon pricing with phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, building public infrastructure, strengthening procurement, and reducing bureaucracy (Box 2.3).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 55
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Incentives to stimulate diffusion of green technologies should be embedded in a broader mix of fiscal climate-mitigation policies— combining carbon pricing with phasing out fossil fuel subsidies, building public infrastructure, strengthening procurement, and reducing bureaucracy (Box 2.3).
CB7K-DOM040-C43registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

43. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 55

Narrow public claim

The resulting gains in aggregate labor productivity and consumption are 2.7 and 3.4 percent, respectively.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 55
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
The resulting gains in aggregate labor productivity and consumption are 2.7 and 3.4 percent, respectively.
CB7K-DOM040-C44registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

44. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 68

Narrow public claim

(possibly in the future, as in the case of climate change) that the former do not consider.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 68
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
(possibly in the future, as in the case of climate change) that the former do not consider.
CB7K-DOM040-C45registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

45. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 79

Narrow public claim

Economy Groupings The following groupings of economies are used in the Fiscal Monitor.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 79
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Economy Groupings The following groupings of economies are used in the Fiscal Monitor.
CB7K-DOM040-C46registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

46. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 86

Narrow public claim

Projections are based on staff assessments of current policies (see “Fiscal Policy Assumptions” in text).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 86
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Projections are based on staff assessments of current policies (see “Fiscal Policy Assumptions” in text).
CB7K-DOM040-C47registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

47. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 86

Narrow public claim

Data for the United States in this table may therefore differ from data published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 86
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Data for the United States in this table may therefore differ from data published by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.
CB7K-DOM040-C48registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

48. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 88

Narrow public claim

Data for these economies include adjustments beyond the output cycle.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 88
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Data for these economies include adjustments beyond the output cycle.
CB7K-DOM040-C49registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

49. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 89

Narrow public claim

The data for these economies include adjustments beyond the output cycle.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 89
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The data for these economies include adjustments beyond the output cycle.
CB7K-DOM040-C50registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T05-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

50. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 92

Narrow public claim

The average does not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the NextGenerationEU package.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 92
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t05_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
The average does not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the NextGenerationEU package.
CB7K-DOM040-C51registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

51. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 92

Narrow public claim

For cross-economy comparison, gross debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 92
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
For cross-economy comparison, gross debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.
CB7K-DOM040-C52registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

52. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 93

Narrow public claim

For cross-economy comparison, net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 93
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
For cross-economy comparison, net debt levels reported by national statistical agencies for economies that have adopted the 2008 System of National Accounts (Australia, Canada, Hong Kong SAR, United States) are adjusted to exclude unfunded pension liabilities of government employees’ defined-benefit pension plans.
CB7K-DOM040-C53registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

53. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 93

Narrow public claim

“Net debt” is defined as gross debt (Maastricht definition) minus assets in the form of currency and deposits, loans, and debt securities.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 93
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
“Net debt” is defined as gross debt (Maastricht definition) minus assets in the form of currency and deposits, loans, and debt securities.
CB7K-DOM040-C54registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

54. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 93

Narrow public claim

6 “Net debt” for Ireland is defined as gross general debt minus debt instrument assets, namely, currency and deposits, debt securities, and loans.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 93
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
6 “Net debt” for Ireland is defined as gross general debt minus debt instrument assets, namely, currency and deposits, debt securities, and loans.
CB7K-DOM040-C55registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

55. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 93

Narrow public claim

Net debt was previously defined as general government debt less currency and deposits.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 93
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Net debt was previously defined as general government debt less currency and deposits.
CB7K-DOM040-C56registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

56. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 94

Narrow public claim

China’s deficit and public debt numbers presented in this table cover a narrower perimeter of the general government than IMF staff’s estimates in China Article IV reports (see IMF 2024 for a reconciliation of the two estimates).

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 94
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
China’s deficit and public debt numbers presented in this table cover a narrower perimeter of the general government than IMF staff’s estimates in China Article IV reports (see IMF 2024 for a reconciliation of the two estimates).
CB7K-DOM040-C57registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

57. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 94

Narrow public claim

Data are for the nonfinancial public sector, which includes central government, local government, social security funds, nonfinancial public corporations, and Banco de Seguros del Estado.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 94
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
Data are for the nonfinancial public sector, which includes central government, local government, social security funds, nonfinancial public corporations, and Banco de Seguros del Estado.
CB7K-DOM040-C58registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

58. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 94

Narrow public claim

With this narrower coverage, the central bank balances are not included in the fiscal data.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 94
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

Download the PDF to a local file, then run the committed verifier. A changed PDF is reported as drift rather than silently accepted.

python scripts/verify_primary_public_claim_group.py artifacts/cb7k_dom040_t06_primary_claims.json --source-file <local-raw-pdf>
Exact source quote
With this narrower coverage, the central bank balances are not included in the fiscal data.
CB7K-DOM040-C59registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

59. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 95

Narrow public claim

Interest revenue is proxied by IMF staff estimates of investment income.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 95
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
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Exact source quote
Interest revenue is proxied by IMF staff estimates of investment income.
CB7K-DOM040-C60registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T06-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

60. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 95

Narrow public claim

The country team does not have the breakdown of investment income between interest revenue and dividends.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 95
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
The country team does not have the breakdown of investment income between interest revenue and dividends.
CB7K-DOM040-C61registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G01PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

61. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 100

Narrow public claim

The average does not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the Next Generation EU (NGEU) package.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 100
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
The average does not include the debt incurred by the European Union and used to finance the grants portion of the Next Generation EU (NGEU) package.
CB7K-DOM040-C62registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G02PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

62. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 106

Narrow public claim

From 2017 onward, Senegal data include the whole of the public sector, whereas before 2017, only central government debt stock was taken into account.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 106
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
From 2017 onward, Senegal data include the whole of the public sector, whereas before 2017, only central government debt stock was taken into account.
CB7K-DOM040-C63registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G03PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

63. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 107

Narrow public claim

The overdrafts and government deposits at the Central Bank of Nigeria almost cancel each other out, and the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria debt is roughly halved.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 107
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
The overdrafts and government deposits at the Central Bank of Nigeria almost cancel each other out, and the Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria debt is roughly halved.
CB7K-DOM040-C64registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G04PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

64. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 114

Narrow public claim

September 2011, Chapter 5 The G-20 Economies: Crisis-Related Discretionary Fiscal Stimulus November 2010, Box 1.1 Update on Crisis-Related Discretionary Fiscal Stimulus in G-20 Economies May 2010, Appendix 1 The Impact of the Crisis on Subnational Governments May 2010, Appendix 4 VI.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 114
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
September 2011, Chapter 5 The G-20 Economies: Crisis-Related Discretionary Fiscal Stimulus November 2010, Box 1.1 Update on Crisis-Related Discretionary Fiscal Stimulus in G-20 Economies May 2010, Appendix 1 The Impact of the Crisis on Subnational Governments May 2010, Appendix 4 VI.
CB7K-DOM040-C65registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G05PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

65. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 115

Narrow public claim

November 2010, Appendix 2 Measures to Finance the Cost of Financial Sector Support May 2010, Box 3 IX.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 115
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
November 2010, Appendix 2 Measures to Finance the Cost of Financial Sector Support May 2010, Box 3 IX.
CB7K-DOM040-C66registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G06PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

66. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 116

Narrow public claim

Shedding Light on Contingent Liabilities April 2016, Box 1.3 Lowflation and Debt in the Euro Area October 2014, Box 1.1 Moment of Truth: Unfunded Pension Liabilities and Public Debt Statistics April 2014, Box 1.1 Public Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Adjustment in Low-Income Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa April 2013, Box 6 Debt Ratios Are Still on the Rise, but Peaks Are within Sight April 2012, Chapter 2 High Gross Debt Levels May Overstate Challenges in the Short Run . . .

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 116
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
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Exact source quote
Shedding Light on Contingent Liabilities April 2016, Box 1.3 Lowflation and Debt in the Euro Area October 2014, Box 1.1 Moment of Truth: Unfunded Pension Liabilities and Public Debt Statistics April 2014, Box 1.1 Public Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Adjustment in Low-Income Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa April 2013, Box 6 Debt Ratios Are Still on the Rise, but Peaks Are within Sight April 2012, Chapter 2 High Gross Debt Levels May Overstate Challenges in the Short Run . . .
CB7K-DOM040-C67registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G07PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

67. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 117

Narrow public claim

November 2010, Appendix 2 Risks to Medium-Term Public Debt Trajectories; Methodological and Statistical Appendix November 2010, Appendix 4 Implications of Fiscal Developments for Government Debt Markets May 2010, Chapter 2 Debt Dynamics in G-20 Economies: An Update May 2010, Box 1 Gross versus Net Debt May 2010, Box 2 Fiscal Adjustment Requirements: Gross and Net Debt Targets May 2010, Appendix 2 Government Debt and Growth May 2010, Appendix 3 XIII.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 117
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
November 2010, Appendix 2 Risks to Medium-Term Public Debt Trajectories; Methodological and Statistical Appendix November 2010, Appendix 4 Implications of Fiscal Developments for Government Debt Markets May 2010, Chapter 2 Debt Dynamics in G-20 Economies: An Update May 2010, Box 1 Gross versus Net Debt May 2010, Box 2 Fiscal Adjustment Requirements: Gross and Net Debt Targets May 2010, Appendix 2 Government Debt and Growth May 2010, Appendix 3 XIII.
CB7K-DOM040-C68registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G08PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

68. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 117

Narrow public claim

April 2019, Box 1.2 Tackling Inequality October 2017, Chapter 1 A Greater Role for Fiscal Policy April 2017, Chapter 1 Upgrading the Tax System to Boost Productivity April 2017, Chapter 2 Making Growth More Inclusive in China April 2017, Box 1.3 Taxation and Growth: Details Matter October 2013, Box 4 Debt Dynamics and the Interest Rate–Growth Differential April 2011, Box 3.1 Interest Rate–Growth Differential November 2010, Appendix 1 Government Debt and Growth May 2010, Appendix 3 XIV.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 117
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
Repeat this exact check locally

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Exact source quote
April 2019, Box 1.2 Tackling Inequality October 2017, Chapter 1 A Greater Role for Fiscal Policy April 2017, Chapter 1 Upgrading the Tax System to Boost Productivity April 2017, Chapter 2 Making Growth More Inclusive in China April 2017, Box 1.3 Taxation and Growth: Details Matter October 2013, Box 4 Debt Dynamics and the Interest Rate–Growth Differential April 2011, Box 3.1 Interest Rate–Growth Differential November 2010, Appendix 1 Government Debt and Growth May 2010, Appendix 3 XIV.
CB7K-DOM040-C69registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G09PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

69. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 119

Narrow public claim

September 2011, Appendix 1 Fiscal Aspects of EU Economic Governance Reforms April 2011, Box 4.1 Fiscal Transparency under Pressure April 2011, Appendix 2 The European Union: Reforming Fiscal Governance November 2010, Box 3.2 Fiscal Rules—Recent Developments May 2010, Box 7 XIX.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 119
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
September 2011, Appendix 1 Fiscal Aspects of EU Economic Governance Reforms April 2011, Box 4.1 Fiscal Transparency under Pressure April 2011, Appendix 2 The European Union: Reforming Fiscal Governance November 2010, Box 3.2 Fiscal Rules—Recent Developments May 2010, Box 7 XIX.
CB7K-DOM040-C70registry slot CB7K-DOM040-T07-G10PASSED: EXACT PRIMARY-SOURCE STATEMENT FOUND

70. IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year · PDF page 120

Narrow public claim

Private Debt Private Debt and Public Sector Risk October 2020, Box 1.1 Private Debt and Its Discontents April 2018, Box 1.1 Debt: Use It Wisely October 2016, Chapter 1 Debt Data Set October 2016, Annex 1.1 Private and Public Debt and the Pace of Recovery October 2016, Annex 1.2 Interlinkages between Public and Private Debt: Selected Summary of the Literature October 2016, Annex 1.3 Private Deleveraging and the Role of Fiscal Policy October 2016, Annex 1.4 Policies during Deleveraging Episodes October 2016, Annex 1.5 Benefits of Targeted Fiscal Intervention during Times of Private Deleveraging October 2016, Box 1.4 XXI.

What this card proves

The exact quoted statement occurred in the named official PDF fetched on 2026-08-17, and the complete PDF matched the recorded SHA-256.

What this card does not prove

It does not independently establish the underlying model capability, safety, comparison, or real-world truth. This is a retrospective single-maintainer source-publication audit.

Primary source
IMF Fiscal Monitor, April 2024: Fiscal Policy in the Great Election Year
Section locator
PDF page 120
Captured
2026-08-17
Source SHA-256
584aab438fb6762ef03740535611e559aee8d5661b3b8f6ae1740265ef3a87f6
Reproduction
Maintainer run only; no independent operator rerun is registered.
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Exact source quote
Private Debt Private Debt and Public Sector Risk October 2020, Box 1.1 Private Debt and Its Discontents April 2018, Box 1.1 Debt: Use It Wisely October 2016, Chapter 1 Debt Data Set October 2016, Annex 1.1 Private and Public Debt and the Pace of Recovery October 2016, Annex 1.2 Interlinkages between Public and Private Debt: Selected Summary of the Literature October 2016, Annex 1.3 Private Deleveraging and the Role of Fiscal Policy October 2016, Annex 1.4 Policies during Deleveraging Episodes October 2016, Annex 1.5 Benefits of Targeted Fiscal Intervention during Times of Private Deleveraging October 2016, Box 1.4 XXI.